Sam Daly Car costs

What the calculator leaves out

The calculator prices an extra vehicle-mile: congestion, crashes on strangers, air, climate, parking. These papers are about a landscape that requires driving — time in the day, a transit place versus a car place, inactivity, years of life, shops. They are not turned into ¢/mile here. How much driving there is in the US, Europe, and Canada is a third page. The sources are linked so you can disagree.

Time in a day

Your own hour in the car is mostly private — that is why Parry does not put it in the externality pack. Congestion delay you impose on other people is already on the calculator. This section is the hour itself.

NHTS 2017

In a vehicle, per person

59 min

Average American, driver or passenger, including people who did not travel that day. People who actually went somewhere land closer to 80 minutes in ATUS/NHTS comparisons.

Marchetti / Zahavi

A stubborn daily budget

~1 hour

Across cities and decades, people tend toward about an hour of travel a day. Faster roads mostly buy more distance, not a shorter day. Looked at closely, the “constant” is an average, not a law.

Induced travel

The speed dividend is spent on miles

FHWA’s Conditions and Performance report had Americans spending 88 minutes traveling per day in 2001 and 86 in 2009, about 80 of those in a vehicle. NHTS 2017 is 58.6 minutes per capita in a vehicle (Figure 7) — lower because it includes non-travelers. Marchetti 1994 restates Zahavi: mean exposure around one hour; people who own a car use it about an hour a day. Mokhtarian & Chen 2004 review the travel-time-budget literature and find the one-hour figure is much less stable once you leave national averages. The policy implication still holds at city scale: time “saved” by a wider road is often reinvested in a longer trip (Lewis–Mogridge / induced demand).

A transit place versus a car place

Clock commute times across large US metros sit in a narrow band. Miles, mode, and how many cars you own do not. Newman and Kenworthy call these walking, transit, and automobile urban fabrics — each roughly one hour wide at the speed it was built for.

ACS 2022

One-way commute, US

26.4 min

Census brief. Metro areas 26.8 minutes; longer outside principal cities. Large metros cluster around half an hour. New York is usually the long one, not because driving is slow everywhere there — because many people ride transit.

Atlanta SMARTRAQ

Inner counties vs outlying

59 vs 72 min

Same region: closer-in counties about 33 miles / 59 minutes in the car per day; outlying about 44 miles / 72 minutes. More car-place, more of the day sitting.

Brookings, 2005

Annual VMT per person

5,890 vs 11,200

New York metro versus Atlanta. Dated, and still the direction later maps show: Northeast and the Bay low, Southeast high. Clock time similar; miles not.

Do not read the mode averages as “transit is slower, so skip it”

Transit one-ways are longer because of where transit riders live

FHWA: about 49 minutes one-way on transit versus about 24–27 driving alone. That is a mix of cities, walk, wait, and congested corridors — not a fair door-to-door test in the same place. Census ACSBR-018 (2022 commuting). Atlanta inner/outer miles and minutes: SMARTRAQ / Frank. VMT: Brookings MetroPolicy table (2005). Fabrics: Newman, Kosonen & Kenworthy 2016. Household money, not minutes: location-efficient neighborhoods (compact, mixed use, transit) show lower transportation spending because they need fewer cars — CNT Housing + Transportation Index.

Health, sitting, and insurance

Sitting in a car is sedentary time. Medical bills get pooled in premiums, Medicaid, and Medicare — that is the insurance channel. Inactivity is all sitting (jobs, screens, cars), not a driving-only line. Litman has argued it may be the largest social cost of car travel; it is not in Parry’s table.

Frank et al., Atlanta 2004

Each extra hour in a car

+6% obesity odds

Each extra kilometer walked: −4.8%. Land-use mix had the strongest urban-form association. Cross-section, 10,878 people, SMARTRAQ.

Carlson et al. / CDC

US health spending tied to too little activity

11%

About 11% of adult health-care expenditures associated with not meeting activity guidelines (~$117–131B in that paper’s dollars). Later updates are higher. Cars are one reason people sit; not the only one.

van den Bijgaart et al. 2024

Add inactivity to the fuel tax

+44% US

People do not fully internalize the health gain from walking or cycling. Including it raises their second-best US fuel tax 44% (38% in the UK). Per active mile, they say the health benefit can dwarf unregulated carbon, air, congestion, and crashes.

Longevity

Hazard ratios and county life expectancy, not ¢/mile. Compact places look better after you control for income and smoking; that is still not a randomized trial.

Hamidi, Ewing et al. 2018

Compact vs sprawling US counties

~2.5 years

606 metro counties. Doubling their compactness index associated with about 3% higher life expectancy — roughly two and a half years on a 78-year baseline — via more VMT (crashes) and higher BMI, plus a leftover direct path they cannot name.

UK Biobank · Celis-Morales

Cycle commuting, all-cause mortality

HR 0.59

About 41% lower all-cause mortality for cycle commuters versus non-active commuting, after measured confounders. Walking commuting was associated with less CVD, not with all-cause mortality. England and Wales census follow-up over 25 years finds the same direction.

Local business

Street design and parking mandates, not the extra gallon. Merchants often overestimate how many customers arrive by car.

Shoup 2014

Required parking on a shopping center

+67% / +93%

Los Angeles: minimums raise construction cost up to 67% for structured parking, 93% underground. That cost is in the price of groceries whether you walked or drove.

NYC DOT 2013

Safer streets and sales tax receipts

Often up

Plazas, protected lanes, SBS: locally owned retail receipts often beat borough and control streets. One Brooklyn plaza: +172% versus +18% borough-wide (excluding auto-centric businesses).

Clifton, Portland

Spend per visit vs per month

Drivers ≠ more

Drivers often spend more per visit. Walk, bike, and transit customers come more often. Monthly spend is competitive or higher except at supermarkets.

Why this is not on the calculator

Parry priced a marginal mile in a given land-use pattern. Inactivity, shop sales, and years of life are mostly substitution — walking instead of driving, or living where walking is possible. There is no published ¢/mile in this file that I would put next to his 5¢ congestion line without mixing units. If a paper publishes one, it can go in estimates.json like the rest.

Cross-sections overstate if healthier people choose walkable places. Cohort commute studies are stronger on mode, weaker on “what if the suburb had a train.” National inactivity dollars include every couch, not only the driver’s seat.